Biancavilla vs Castrovillari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
24%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Biancavilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ROT
0 - 0
BIA
53%
22%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
BIA
2 - 1
GEL
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CCI
3 - 2
BIA
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
BIA
1 - 3
ACI
37%
23%
41%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
BIA
2 - 0
DAT
30%
22%
48%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Castrovillari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
USC
1 - 3
MES
24%
28%
48%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
USC
2 - 0
ROC
61%
22%
17%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
CSA
2 - 1
USC
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
USC
0 - 0
ASD
47%
25%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
REN
1 - 1
USC
43%
25%
32%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |