AS Bra vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
36.5%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Bra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
VFC
2 - 1
ASD
34%
25%
41%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 0
ART
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SAN
1 - 1
ASD
61%
24%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
ASD
1 - 0
DER
44%
25%
32%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SES
0 - 0
ASD
48%
25%
27%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAS
0 - 0
ASD
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2022 |
AST
0 - 0
CAS
31%
24%
45%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
1 - 0
PRO
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CHI
1 - 2
CAS
30%
26%
44%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
CAS
5 - 1
BOR
50%
26%
24%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | +1 |