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Serie D. Group F, Matchday 15

Castelnuovo Vomano Porto Sant'Elpidio
23 ELO 21
8% Tilt 8%
4549º General ELO ranking 5323º
166º Country ELO ranking 237º
ELO win probability
47.9%
Castelnuovo Vomano
25.5%
Draw
26.6%
Porto Sant'Elpidio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
Castelnuovo Vomano
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
26.6%
Win probability
Porto Sant'Elpidio
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Castelnuovo Vomano
+32%
-69%
Porto Sant'Elpidio

Points and table prediction

Castelnuovo Vomano
Their league position
Porto Sant'Elpidio
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
14
14º
18º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Città di Campobasso
72
74
100%
San Nicolò
64
66
100%
Pineto
53
54
18%
Cynthialbalonga
53
54
26%
Matese
53
55
12%
Castelfidardo Calcio
52
53
57%
Vastese
48
49
31%
Castelnuovo Vomano
47
50
44%
Montegiorgio
45
47
10º
15%
Recanatese
10º
44
47
32%
Rieti
11º
44
45
12º
39%
Aprilia
12º
44
45
11º
38%
Fiuggi
13º
40
41
13º
52%
Vastogirardi
14º
40
41
14º
50%
Tolentino
15º
37
39
15º
100%
Real Giulianova
16º
31
32
16º
100%
Porto Sant'Elpidio
17º
14
15
18º
50%
Olympia Agnonese
18º
14
15
17º
50%
Expected probabilities
Castelnuovo Vomano
Porto Sant'Elpidio
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation playoffs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Porto Sant'Elpidio
SEL
Castelnuovo Vomano
CAS
Vastese
ASD
Rieti
RIE
Real Giulianova
GIU
Matese
MAT
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Castelnuovo Vomano
Castelnuovo Vomano
1%
X%
2%
ELO CAS ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Dec. 2020
CAS
Castelnuovo Vomano
1 - 2
San Nicolò
SAN
47%
27%
26%
298 276 22 0
20 Dec. 2020
CAS
Castelnuovo Vomano
2 - 1
Città di Campobasso
CAM
47%
27%
26%
298 248 50 0
08 Nov. 2020
MAT
Matese
1 - 2
Castelnuovo Vomano
CAS
46%
27%
27%
298 287 -11 0
01 Nov. 2020
CAS
Castelnuovo Vomano
3 - 1
Montegiorgio
MON
45%
27%
28%
296 285 11 +2
25 Oct. 2020
CAS
Castelfidardo Calcio
1 - 0
Castelnuovo Vomano
CAS
42%
28%
31%
298 170 -128 -2

Matches

Porto Sant'Elpidio
Porto Sant'Elpidio
1%
X%
2%
ELO SEL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 2020
SEL
Porto Sant'Elpidio
0 - 2
Real Giulianova
GIU
47%
27%
26%
275 190 85 0
20 Jan. 2021
RIE
Rieti
3 - 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
SEL
41%
28%
31%
275 216 -59 0
23 Dec. 2020
APR
Aprilia
2 - 1
Porto Sant'Elpidio
SEL
47%
27%
26%
275 355 80 0
20 Dec. 2020
SEL
Porto Sant'Elpidio
0 - 3
Pineto
PIN
45%
27%
28%
275 269 6 0
08 Nov. 2020
SFF
Fiuggi
3 - 0
Porto Sant'Elpidio
SEL
46%
27%
27%
275 253 -22 0