Ascona vs SC Cham 2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-41%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
14º
16º
14º
35
5º
15º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
64 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 56 |
2º
|
65% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
65.5% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 50 |
4º
|
72.5% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 48 |
5º
|
43.5% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 46 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 46 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 39 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
35 | 38 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 35 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 30 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
48% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 25 |
15º
|
65.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
84% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
BRU
4 - 1
ASC
57%
22%
21%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
3 - 4
FCS
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASC
49%
25%
26%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 1
GOL
46%
22%
32%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCU
3 - 1
ASC
46%
22%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SC Cham 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
BUO
0 - 4
CHA
58%
20%
22%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRU
29%
22%
49%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
5 - 1
CHA
60%
19%
21%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
FCC
41%
24%
34%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GOL
1 - 0
CHA
39%
21%
40%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |