Ascona vs SC Cham 2 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.2%
41.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
14º
16º
14º
35
5º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 67 |
1º
|
99% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 58 |
2º
|
71.5% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 55 |
3º
|
73% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 47 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 47 |
5º
|
32% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 45 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 43 |
7º
|
35.5% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 41 |
8º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 40 |
9º
|
21% | |
|
|
10º
|
35 | 39 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 39 |
11º
|
28.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 36 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 33 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
13º
|
27 | 30 |
14º
|
46% | |
|
14º
|
22 | 26 |
15º
|
55.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 16 |
16º
|
87% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 98% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
BRU
4 - 1
ASC
57%
22%
21%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
3 - 4
FCS
28%
23%
50%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FCC
1 - 1
ASC
49%
25%
26%
|
22 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
ASC
2 - 1
GOL
46%
22%
32%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
FCU
3 - 1
ASC
46%
22%
32%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
SC Cham 2
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
BUO
0 - 4
CHA
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
BRU
29%
22%
49%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
FCS
5 - 1
CHA
60%
19%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 1
FCC
41%
24%
34%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
GOL
1 - 0
CHA
39%
21%
40%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | -1 |