Ascoli vs Piacenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
17.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
GRO
1 - 0
ASC
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
ASC
2 - 1
AVE
69%
19%
12%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
ASC
45%
29%
27%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
ASC
2 - 0
MAN
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
ASC
1 - 0
BRE
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Piacenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
PIA
1 - 0
MOD
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SAL
0 - 1
PIA
42%
27%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
PIA
1 - 2
ABN
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2009 |
RIM
0 - 2
PIA
62%
22%
16%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
PIA
2 - 0
ANC
49%
26%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |