Ascoli vs Perugia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.8%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.5%
10.7%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
CAG
0 - 2
ASC
32%
32%
37%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
ASC
1 - 0
CES
68%
20%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
FCC
0 - 0
ASC
36%
30%
34%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
ASC
4 - 0
ASS
74%
18%
9%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
SSS
1 - 1
ASC
32%
32%
37%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Perugia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1986 |
PRG
2 - 1
ASS
53%
29%
18%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1986 |
FCC
1 - 2
PRG
50%
30%
20%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1986 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PRG
46%
32%
23%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
PRG
2 - 0
BOL
51%
31%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1986 |
CAT
2 - 1
PRG
52%
29%
19%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |