Supercoppa di Serie C . Final
Global 2-2
Ascoli vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
8%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
48.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
ASC
2 - 2
VIT
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
GIU
2 - 1
ASC
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ASC
2 - 0
LOD
71%
19%
10%
|
61 | 41 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
NOC
1 - 3
ASC
24%
29%
47%
|
60 | 43 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
ASC
1 - 0
CAT
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2002 |
LIV
3 - 0
ALV
83%
13%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2002 |
TRE
1 - 2
LIV
32%
28%
40%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
LIV
1 - 0
ACL
65%
21%
14%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
ASS
0 - 1
LIV
23%
27%
51%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
LIV
0 - 1
SPE
66%
20%
14%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |