Ascoli vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
47%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CRO
2 - 2
ASC
50%
24%
26%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 3
BRE
26%
26%
48%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
USA
1 - 3
ASC
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ASC
0 - 2
BEN
31%
27%
43%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
COM
0 - 1
ASC
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 0
ASS
64%
21%
16%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 2
LEC
42%
26%
33%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
CRO
0 - 3
LEC
39%
25%
35%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
LEC
3 - 2
USA
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 54 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2021 |
BEN
0 - 0
LEC
51%
23%
25%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |