Ascoli vs Chievo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
39.8%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
FIO
3 - 1
ASC
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
ASC
3 - 2
ROM
19%
25%
56%
|
72 | 88 | 16 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
UDI
1 - 1
ASC
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
ASC
1 - 0
MES
42%
28%
31%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
SAM
1 - 2
ASC
69%
20%
12%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Chievo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
CHI
4 - 1
SIE
53%
25%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
EMP
2 - 1
CHI
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
CHI
2 - 2
LAZ
36%
28%
36%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2006 |
CAG
2 - 2
CHI
41%
27%
33%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2006 |
CHI
0 - 0
PAL
47%
27%
27%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |