Ascoli vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
48.1%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2021 |
USA
1 - 3
ASC
22%
25%
53%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ASC
0 - 2
BEN
31%
27%
43%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
COM
0 - 1
ASC
21%
25%
54%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
PRG
2 - 3
ASC
47%
26%
27%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ASC
1 - 0
NUO
51%
25%
23%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
FRO
2 - 2
BRE
36%
27%
38%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 2
CRO
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
USA
1 - 3
BRE
16%
23%
61%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2021 |
BRE
4 - 0
VNZ
58%
22%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
5 - 1
NUO
74%
17%
10%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | +1 |