Ascoli vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
43.4%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ascoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2021 |
ASC
0 - 0
CHI
26%
27%
47%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CTT
1 - 0
ASC
73%
17%
10%
|
60 | 74 | 14 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
ASC
2 - 1
REG
51%
25%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
EMP
1 - 1
ASC
79%
15%
6%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
ASC
2 - 0
SPA
27%
27%
45%
|
57 | 71 | 14 | +2 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 1
ASS
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
PIS
1 - 0
BRE
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2021 |
BRE
0 - 3
VIC
69%
18%
13%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2020 |
SPA
2 - 3
BRE
45%
25%
29%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Dec. 2020 |
BRE
1 - 3
EMP
38%
25%
37%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |