ASC Nieuwland vs Leerdam Sport '55 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASC Nieuwland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
EEM
3 - 1
ASC
76%
15%
9%
|
15 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ASC
1 - 1
CSW
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
NIV
3 - 2
ASC
79%
13%
8%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Leerdam Sport '55
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
LES
2 - 4
ARC
9%
16%
76%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
ZUI
2 - 1
LES
85%
11%
5%
|
10 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
LES
1 - 4
ALM
17%
21%
62%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |