Åsane vs Valerenga IF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.5%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
56.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.6%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
10º
15º
15º
14
1º
13º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
5º
|
14 | 57 |
1º
|
42.5% | |
|
1º
|
18 | 53 |
2º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
13 | 51 |
3º
|
20% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 50 |
4º
|
11.5% | |
|
8º
|
11 | 49 |
5º
|
14% | |
|
9º
|
11 | 46 |
6º
|
8.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 45 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
4º
|
15 | 44 |
8º
|
8.5% | |
|
13º
|
9 | 38 |
9º
|
10% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 37 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
10 | 33 |
11º
|
9% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 32 |
12º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
6 | 32 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 32 |
14º
|
18% | |
|
|
14º
|
7 | 30 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 25 |
16º
|
35.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 59.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
5% | 32.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
58.5% | 8% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
11.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
25% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Åsane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
MJO
2 - 1
ASA
41%
26%
33%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ASA
1 - 0
IKS
38%
25%
37%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
RAU
1 - 0
ASA
49%
24%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
EID
2 - 1
ASA
38%
22%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ASA
2 - 2
STB
26%
24%
50%
|
57 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Valerenga IF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2024 |
VIF
0 - 2
KON
61%
21%
17%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ELP
0 - 2
VIF
17%
23%
59%
|
73 | 56 | 17 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
VIF
2 - 2
HAM
53%
22%
25%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
VIF
1 - 0
BRY
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2024 |
VIF
1 - 0
TRO
40%
24%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |