Varese vs Siena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
51.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
NOV
0 - 0
VAR
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
VAR
1 - 2
BRE
39%
27%
34%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
SPE
2 - 1
VAR
53%
24%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
VAR
0 - 2
CAR
49%
26%
25%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CTT
5 - 1
VAR
37%
27%
36%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 0
PAD
70%
20%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2014 |
LAT
0 - 3
SIE
26%
28%
46%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2014 |
SIE
2 - 1
REG
72%
19%
9%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
PES
1 - 0
SIE
26%
27%
47%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
SIE
1 - 3
MOD
59%
24%
17%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | -1 |