Varese vs Pescara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
25%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
ABN
3 - 1
VAR
65%
21%
14%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 0
EMP
29%
27%
44%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2010 |
VAR
0 - 0
ATL
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 2
VAR
71%
20%
9%
|
57 | 74 | 17 | +1 |
| 14 Aug. 2010 |
COM
1 - 3
VAR
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Pescara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
PES
0 - 2
ATL
21%
28%
52%
|
58 | 77 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
TRI
1 - 0
PES
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2010 |
EMP
0 - 0
PES
73%
17%
10%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
PES
1 - 1
SIE
22%
27%
51%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2010 |
ABN
3 - 1
PES
60%
21%
19%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | -1 |