Varese vs Caronnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
6%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 1
VAR
14%
22%
64%
|
59 | 23 | 36 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VAR
2 - 2
ASD
82%
13%
5%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
VOG
0 - 1
VAR
11%
22%
67%
|
59 | 25 | 34 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BOR
0 - 0
VAR
13%
23%
64%
|
59 | 33 | 26 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
VAR
4 - 5
INV
80%
14%
6%
|
59 | 34 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Caronnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 2
VOG
78%
15%
7%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
BOR
0 - 0
CAR
32%
28%
41%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 4
INV
61%
22%
18%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
FOL
1 - 1
CAR
26%
27%
48%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 1
CUN
48%
26%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |