As Pontes vs Sporting Atlético analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
25.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
PON
1 - 1
ASP
49%
28%
24%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1990 |
ASP
3 - 4
CAR
70%
17%
13%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
ASP
1 - 0
MST
64%
22%
14%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
CDO
0 - 1
ASP
52%
27%
21%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1990 |
CAR
0 - 0
ASP
46%
23%
31%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Atlético
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 1990 |
SPB
5 - 1
CUL
58%
24%
18%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1990 |
AVI
1 - 1
SPB
60%
23%
18%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1990 |
SPB
1 - 2
ATB
36%
29%
35%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1990 |
PEG
1 - 2
SPB
45%
27%
28%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1990 |
PON
3 - 0
SPB
45%
27%
28%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | -1 |