As Pontes vs Celta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.4%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
45.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
ASP
2 - 0
ATO
67%
20%
13%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1986 |
BER
1 - 1
ASP
54%
25%
21%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
DEP
0 - 3
ASP
57%
21%
22%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
ASP
3 - 0
DEP
62%
22%
16%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1986 |
ARE
2 - 1
ASP
41%
30%
30%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | -3 |
Matches
Celta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
CEL
4 - 0
XER
67%
22%
12%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1986 |
RMC
0 - 1
CEL
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1986 |
VIV
0 - 4
CEL
21%
28%
51%
|
68 | 23 | 45 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1986 |
VCF
3 - 2
CEL
68%
19%
13%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1986 |
CEL
2 - 0
FIG
59%
23%
18%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | +1 |