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Tanzania League. Matchday 15

AS Polisi vs Kagera Sugar analysis

AS Polisi Kagera Sugar
12 ELO 16
-57% Tilt 13%
7443º General ELO ranking 6098º
16º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
19%
AS Polisi
31.4%
Draw
49.6%
Kagera Sugar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
AS Polisi
0.6
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
14.3%
31.4%
Draw
0-0
17.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
0
31.4%
49.6%
Win probability
Kagera Sugar
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
19.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0%
-1
27.8%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
AS Polisi
-27%
-23%
Kagera Sugar

Points and table prediction

AS Polisi
Their league position
Kagera Sugar
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
13º
13º
29
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Young Africans
57
69
100%
Simba SC
49
58
100%
Azam FC
32
43
47%
Geita Gold
31
40
13%
Mbeya City
31
37
12%
Namungo
30
42
8%
KMC
30
37
14%
Kagera Sugar
29
38
10%
Dodoma
28
35
9%
Mtibwa Sugar
10º
27
32
13º
10%
Coastal Union
11º
27
33
10º
9%
AS Polisi
12º
26
33
11º
10%
Ruvu Shooting
13º
25
33
12º
9%
Biashara United
14º
23
30
15º
13%
Tanzania Prisons
15º
23
28
16º
19%
Mbeya Kwanza
16º
21
30
14º
16%
Expected probabilities
AS Polisi
Kagera Sugar
Champion
0% 0%
CAF Champions League
0% 0%
CAF Confederation Cup
1% 9%
Mid-table
65% 76%
Relegation playoffs
16% 9%
Relegation
17% 6%

ELO progression

Kagera Sugar
KAG
AS Polisi
POL
KMC
KMC
Young Africans
YOU
Dodoma
DJF
Mtibwa Sugar
MTI
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

AS Polisi
AS Polisi
1%
X%
2%
ELO POL ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Feb. 2022
GGF
Geita Gold
3 - 1
AS Polisi
POL
45%
27%
28%
174 125 -49 -2
23 Jan. 2022
POL
AS Polisi
0 - 1
Young Africans
YOU
39%
28%
33%
175 415 -240 -1
17 Jan. 2022
POL
AS Polisi
0 - 0
Namungo
NAM
42%
28%
30%
175 251 -76 0
27 Dec. 2021
POL
AS Polisi
0 - 0
Mbeya City
MBE
42%
28%
30%
176 242 -66 0
21 Dec. 2021
MTI
Mtibwa Sugar
1 - 1
AS Polisi
POL
46%
27%
27%
176 248 72 0

Matches

Kagera Sugar
Kagera Sugar
1%
X%
2%
ELO KAG ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Feb. 2022
KAG
Kagera Sugar
2 - 1
Coastal Union
COA
47%
27%
26%
232 199 33 +1
26 Jan. 2022
KAG
Kagera Sugar
1 - 0
Simba SC
SIM
45%
27%
29%
226 313 -87 0
21 Jan. 2022
DJF
Dodoma
1 - 2
Kagera Sugar
KAG
45%
27%
28%
227 249 22 +1
15 Jan. 2022
BUM
Biashara United
3 - 3
Kagera Sugar
KAG
47%
27%
26%
225 250 25 0
26 Dec. 2021
KAG
Kagera Sugar
0 - 1
Tanzania Prisons
TAN
45%
27%
28%
225 222 3 -1