Police vs Vitesse FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
19.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2020 |
RAI
0 - 0
ASP
39%
28%
33%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ASP
2 - 2
MAJ
31%
31%
38%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
USO
0 - 0
ASP
41%
28%
31%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
ASP
0 - 1
ASD
31%
30%
39%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2020 |
KOZ
2 - 1
ASP
31%
27%
42%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vitesse FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
VFC
1 - 1
SON
21%
27%
52%
|
39 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ASF
3 - 1
VFC
61%
22%
17%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
RFC
1 - 1
VFC
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
VFC
0 - 1
ASF
34%
27%
39%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2020 |
RAC
4 - 1
VFC
53%
25%
22%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | -1 |