Police vs Royal FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
36.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2020 |
RAI
0 - 1
ASP
60%
24%
17%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
0 - 1
ASD
29%
28%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -2 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
0 - 1
SET
15%
25%
60%
|
41 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
ASE
1 - 1
ASP
56%
24%
21%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
0 - 0
RAC
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Royal FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
RFC
1 - 1
MAJ
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2020 |
RFC
1 - 2
OUA
69%
19%
12%
|
44 | 26 | 18 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
RFC
1 - 0
RAI
35%
27%
38%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +2 |
| 13 Feb. 2020 |
RFC
2 - 4
ETO
49%
26%
24%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
ASD
0 - 3
RFC
67%
20%
13%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | +2 |