Mégrine vs CA Bizertin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.7%
Win probability
0.42
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.9%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
4.7%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
0
15.8%
78.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
0-1
16.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
24.7%
0-2
17.7%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
23.7%
0-3
12.9%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
7.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
8.5%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mégrine
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
LSS
1 - 2
ASM
40%
22%
38%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CA Bizertin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2023 |
ETO
0 - 2
CAB
54%
26%
20%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAB
1 - 2
STA
46%
28%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2023 |
ESP
4 - 0
CAB
49%
28%
23%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
CAB
0 - 0
CSS
48%
28%
24%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2023 |
ESH
0 - 1
CAB
28%
31%
41%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |