AS Marsa vs ES Métlaoui analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.2%
39.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+14%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
16
5º
8º
7º
20
4º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
30 | 27 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 23 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
21 | 19 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
5º
|
20 | 17 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
16 | 16 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 15 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AS Marsa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
ASD
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
3 - 1
TAT
33%
28%
39%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2024 |
CSS
0 - 1
ASD
58%
25%
17%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ASD
2 - 1
BEN
28%
30%
42%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 0
ASD
70%
20%
10%
|
55 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
ES Métlaoui
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2024 |
TAT
0 - 0
ETO
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
CAB
39%
30%
31%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
2 - 2
USM
33%
26%
41%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
ETO
1 - 0
ASS
41%
28%
30%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
EGS
1 - 0
ETO
39%
27%
34%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |