KAS Eupen vs KV Mechelen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
59.9%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
5º
15º
14º
45
6º
14º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
70 | 70 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
63 | 63 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 52 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 47 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
47 | 47 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
45 | 45 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
29 | 29 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
29 | 29 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
14º
|
24 | 24 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
24 | 24 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
23 | 23 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KAS Eupen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2024 |
CHA
1 - 0
EUP
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
EUP
1 - 0
ANT
12%
21%
67%
|
63 | 87 | 24 | +2 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
RWD
0 - 1
EUP
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 77 | 15 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
S04
3 - 1
EUP
69%
17%
13%
|
62 | 76 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
LEU
3 - 0
EUP
66%
20%
15%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
KV Mechelen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 2024 |
KVM
2 - 2
AND
27%
26%
47%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2024 |
KVM
3 - 1
RWD
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2024 |
GEN
1 - 2
KVM
63%
20%
17%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
KVM
3 - 0
HER
37%
23%
40%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2023 |
CHA
3 - 1
KVM
35%
25%
40%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |