Cannes vs Nice II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
22.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
57
1º
3º
1º
17
1º
13º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
57 | 63 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
14º
|
0 | 45 |
2º
|
53% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 44 |
3º
|
50% | |
|
3º
|
36 | 39 |
4º
|
33% | |
|
|
4º
|
34 | 38 |
5º
|
29.5% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 37 |
6º
|
17.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 37 |
7º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
29.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 33 |
9º
|
28% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 30 |
10º
|
36% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 30 |
11º
|
29% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
12º
|
52% | |
|
|
12º
|
17 | 25 |
13º
|
69.5% | |
|
13º
|
16 | 19 |
14º
|
96.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
2.5% | 5.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 94.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cannes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
CAN
2 - 2
CAS
35%
26%
39%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
RSV
0 - 1
CAN
37%
26%
37%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CAN
1 - 0
AJA
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 0
CAN
29%
27%
45%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
CAN
4 - 1
CON
54%
24%
23%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Nice II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
NIC
1 - 3
RSV
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 35 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
AJA
2 - 1
NIC
33%
26%
41%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
NIC
4 - 2
58%
21%
21%
|
41 | 37 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
NIC
5 - 0
CBL
71%
16%
13%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2022 |
LUC
0 - 1
NIC
52%
24%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |