SSC Bari vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.3%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.8%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 0
ASS
47%
26%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
MES
0 - 3
BAR
37%
29%
35%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 1958 |
ACM
1 - 1
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
BAR
1 - 2
TRI
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
BAR
0 - 0
CAT
46%
26%
28%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1958 |
PAR
0 - 0
MES
58%
24%
19%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1958 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAT
44%
27%
29%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1958 |
PAL
1 - 1
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1958 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAR
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1958 |
PAR
2 - 2
MOD
44%
28%
28%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |