SSC Bari vs Livorno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
27.6%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
CES
0 - 2
BAR
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2015 |
BAR
2 - 1
SAL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
NOV
49%
26%
26%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
LEO
0 - 1
BAR
31%
28%
41%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 0
ACD
59%
24%
17%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Livorno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
LIV
2 - 2
VIC
55%
24%
21%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
LEO
1 - 0
LIV
27%
28%
46%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
LIV
2 - 0
TRA
53%
24%
24%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
ACD
0 - 0
LIV
32%
27%
41%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
LIV
2 - 0
MOD
55%
24%
22%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |