SSC Bari vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
29.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2013 |
REG
0 - 0
BAR
43%
28%
29%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ATL
3 - 0
BAR
62%
22%
16%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BAR
1 - 1
ACL
70%
19%
11%
|
69 | 54 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
GRO
4 - 3
BAR
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BAR
2 - 1
CES
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 2
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
BOL
1 - 0
BRE
68%
19%
13%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
BRE
3 - 1
TER
81%
13%
5%
|
70 | 36 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
LIV
1 - 1
BRE
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
LIV
42%
26%
33%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |