Arzachena vs Nocerina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.6%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.7%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
41.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2021 |
ARZ
1 - 0
SSC
71%
17%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
ARZ
51%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2021 |
SSC
2 - 3
ARZ
53%
24%
24%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
ARZ
0 - 2
MON
20%
26%
54%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
TNF
3 - 3
ARZ
47%
23%
30%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nocerina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2021 |
NOC
2 - 2
FOR
51%
25%
25%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SSC
2 - 2
NOC
33%
28%
40%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 2
NOC
41%
23%
36%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
NOC
1 - 1
MON
25%
27%
48%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
NOC
1 - 2
TNF
57%
21%
22%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |