Arucas vs Union Marina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
6.7%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
UDB
2 - 1
ARU
30%
24%
47%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ARU
2 - 0
TER
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UDG
1 - 2
ARU
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
ARU
0 - 0
UDS
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
HCF
0 - 1
ARU
9%
17%
74%
|
19 | 9 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Union Marina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 3
MAS
21%
21%
59%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
UDG
4 - 2
MAR
67%
19%
14%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 7
EST
22%
22%
56%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2019 |
BEC
0 - 0
MAR
65%
19%
16%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
CFP
36%
23%
41%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |