Arucas vs UD San Fernando analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
22%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
56.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
2º
12º
11º
51
1º
15º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
52 | 55 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
51 | 54 |
3º
|
74.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
4º
|
67.5% | |
|
5º
|
47 | 48 |
5º
|
45.5% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 47 |
6º
|
8% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 47 |
7º
|
30% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 44 |
8º
|
85.5% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 39 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 38 |
10º
|
31.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 37 |
11º
|
37.5% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 36 |
12º
|
62% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
82.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 26 |
14º
|
70.5% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
70.5% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 16 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
YAI
3 - 1
ARU
32%
24%
45%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
ARU
2 - 0
EST
70%
17%
13%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2023 |
TAM
2 - 0
ARU
40%
24%
36%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2023 |
ARU
3 - 1
PAN
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +2 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
ARU
1 - 1
UDI
69%
18%
13%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
UD San Fernando
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2023 |
UDS
1 - 1
LPA
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
VSB
0 - 0
UDS
25%
23%
52%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
UDS
1 - 0
LAN
62%
21%
18%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDM
3 - 1
UDS
43%
23%
34%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
2 - 1
UDS
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |