Arucas vs Maspalomas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.1%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
30.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2019 |
UDG
3 - 2
ARU
36%
24%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
ARU
2 - 4
EST
36%
24%
40%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
BEC
2 - 1
ARU
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
ARU
1 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
UDB
2 - 1
ARU
30%
24%
47%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Maspalomas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2019 |
MAS
2 - 3
CFP
58%
20%
22%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2019 |
MAS
0 - 1
UDG
68%
18%
14%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
EST
2 - 2
MAS
54%
22%
24%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
MAS
3 - 0
BEC
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
2 - 3
MAS
21%
21%
59%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | 0 |