Arucas vs Estrella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.1%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
39.9%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.1%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+76%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arucas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
BEC
2 - 1
ARU
20%
22%
58%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
ARU
1 - 0
MAR
80%
14%
7%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
UDB
2 - 1
ARU
30%
24%
47%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
ARU
2 - 0
TER
40%
23%
37%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
UDG
1 - 2
ARU
67%
17%
16%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Estrella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
EST
2 - 2
MAS
54%
22%
24%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2019 |
UDG
1 - 3
EST
29%
24%
47%
|
21 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2019 |
EST
2 - 0
CFP
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
EST
5 - 1
BEC
65%
20%
15%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
MAR
1 - 7
EST
22%
22%
56%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |