Arsenal vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.4%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
CHL
6 - 0
ARS
50%
23%
27%
|
92 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
TOT
0 - 1
ARS
32%
25%
44%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
BYM
1 - 1
ARS
71%
17%
11%
|
92 | 97 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
ARS
4 - 1
EVE
60%
23%
17%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
14%
21%
66%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
EVE
3 - 2
SWA
67%
20%
13%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SWA
1 - 2
WBA
50%
24%
26%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
SWA
1 - 1
CRY
68%
20%
12%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
NAP
3 - 1
SWA
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LIV
4 - 3
SWA
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |