Arsenal vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.3%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
15.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
ARS
3 - 1
ACM
50%
24%
26%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
ARS
3 - 0
WAT
73%
17%
10%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
ACM
0 - 2
ARS
43%
25%
32%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
BHA
2 - 1
ARS
24%
23%
54%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2018 |
ARS
0 - 3
MAC
24%
23%
54%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
STO
1 - 2
EVE
30%
26%
44%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2018 |
STO
0 - 2
MAC
9%
17%
73%
|
82 | 92 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 0
STO
52%
25%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2018 |
LEI
1 - 1
STO
67%
20%
14%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2018 |
STO
1 - 1
BHA
53%
26%
22%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |