Arsenal vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
19.5%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
EVE
2 - 1
ARS
28%
25%
48%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2021 |
MUD
3 - 2
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
89 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ARS
2 - 0
NEW
68%
19%
13%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LIV
4 - 0
ARS
58%
22%
20%
|
89 | 93 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 0
WAT
71%
19%
11%
|
89 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 1
BHA
47%
26%
26%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2021 |
SOU
2 - 2
LEI
24%
24%
51%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
LIV
4 - 0
SOU
73%
17%
10%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
NOR
2 - 1
SOU
31%
24%
45%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2021 |
SOU
1 - 0
ASV
42%
25%
32%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |