Arsenal vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.2%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
16%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
ARS
0 - 1
BUR
72%
17%
11%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
DUN
2 - 4
ARS
19%
22%
59%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
TOT
2 - 0
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
88 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2020 |
ARS
4 - 1
RAP
68%
18%
14%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
ARS
1 - 2
WOL
64%
20%
16%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SOU
3 - 0
SHE
58%
22%
19%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2020 |
BHA
1 - 2
SOU
33%
26%
42%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 3
MUD
22%
24%
55%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2020 |
WOL
1 - 1
SOU
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2020 |
SOU
2 - 0
NEW
47%
24%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |