Arsenal vs Reading analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
82.1%
Win probability
2.51
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.4%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.9%
13%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13%
4.9%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ARS
0 - 0
MID
80%
14%
6%
|
92 | 78 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2016 |
ARS
6 - 0
LUD
79%
15%
6%
|
91 | 78 | 13 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 2
SWA
73%
18%
10%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
BUR
0 - 1
ARS
10%
18%
72%
|
91 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
ARS
2 - 0
BAS
64%
20%
16%
|
91 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Reading
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
ROT
0 - 1
REA
30%
25%
44%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2016 |
REA
1 - 2
ASV
36%
28%
36%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
QPR
1 - 1
REA
43%
26%
31%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
REA
1 - 1
DER
39%
28%
33%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2016 |
BRE
4 - 1
REA
46%
25%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |