Arsenal vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
5 - 0
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2021 |
WBA
0 - 6
ARS
15%
22%
63%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 2
CHL
30%
24%
45%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 0
ARS
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TOT
1 - 0
ARS
43%
24%
33%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
1 - 2
LEI
20%
22%
58%
|
79 | 89 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
6 - 0
BOU
41%
25%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
MAC
5 - 0
NOR
85%
11%
4%
|
79 | 95 | 16 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
NOR
0 - 3
LIV
9%
16%
76%
|
79 | 92 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
NEW
3 - 0
NOR
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |