Arsenal vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.7%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2007 |
SHE
0 - 3
ARS
17%
25%
59%
|
94 | 75 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
LIV
1 - 1
ARS
37%
28%
35%
|
94 | 92 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2007 |
ARS
7 - 0
SLP
79%
14%
6%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ARS
2 - 0
BOL
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2007 |
ARS
3 - 2
SUN
81%
13%
6%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
MUD
4 - 1
MID
77%
16%
7%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2007 |
DYN
2 - 4
MUD
22%
24%
54%
|
95 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
ASV
1 - 4
MUD
15%
24%
61%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
MUD
4 - 0
WIG
78%
16%
7%
|
95 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2007 |
MUD
1 - 0
ROM
61%
22%
17%
|
94 | 90 | 4 | +1 |