Arsenal vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.8%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
SLP
0 - 4
ARS
25%
24%
51%
|
89 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
SHE
0 - 3
ARS
14%
21%
65%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 1
SLP
66%
19%
15%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
ARS
0 - 3
LIV
30%
23%
47%
|
89 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
WHU
3 - 3
ARS
33%
25%
42%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
FUL
0 - 1
WOL
28%
26%
45%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
ASV
3 - 1
FUL
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2021 |
FUL
1 - 2
LEE
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
FUL
0 - 3
MAC
5%
14%
80%
|
78 | 94 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 1
FUL
82%
13%
5%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | +1 |