Arsenal vs Fulham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.1%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
8.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2011 |
ARS
2 - 1
BVB
61%
22%
17%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
NOR
1 - 2
ARS
10%
17%
73%
|
92 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
ARS
3 - 0
WBA
74%
17%
9%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2011 |
ARS
0 - 0
MAR
58%
23%
20%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
CHL
3 - 5
ARS
55%
22%
24%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Fulham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
SUN
0 - 0
FUL
43%
28%
29%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
FUL
1 - 3
TOT
37%
25%
38%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2011 |
FUL
4 - 1
WIS
69%
19%
13%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2011 |
WIG
0 - 2
FUL
34%
29%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
FUL
1 - 3
EVE
46%
26%
28%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |