Premier League . Jor. 28

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace analysis

Arsenal Crystal Palace
92 ELO 85
8.7% Tilt 6%
General ELO ranking 71º
Country ELO ranking 16º
ELO win probability
75.3%
Arsenal
16.1%
Draw
8.6%
Crystal Palace

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
Arsenal
2.35
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.6%
Win probability
Crystal Palace
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arsenal
+1%
-3%
Crystal Palace

Points and table prediction

Arsenal
Their league position
Crystal Palace
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
84
45
17º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Manchester City
89
89
100%
Arsenal
84
84
100%
Manchester United
75
75
100%
Newcastle
71
71
100%
Liverpool
67
67
100%
Brighton & Hove Albion
62
62
100%
Aston Villa
61
61
100%
Tottenham Hotspur
60
60
100%
Brentford
59
59
100%
Fulham
10º
52
52
10º
100%
Crystal Palace
11º
45
45
11º
100%
Chelsea
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Wolves
13º
41
41
13º
100%
West Ham
14º
40
40
14º
100%
AFC Bournemouth
15º
39
39
15º
100%
Nottingham Forest
16º
38
38
16º
100%
Everton
17º
36
36
17º
100%
Leicester
18º
34
34
18º
100%
Leeds United
19º
31
31
19º
100%
Southampton
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Arsenal
Crystal Palace
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League
100% 0%
Europa League
0% 0%
Conference League
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Arsenal
Crystal Palace
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arsenal
Arsenal
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2023
ARS
Arsenal
1 - 1
Sporting CP
SCP
64%
19%
17%
92 88 4 0
12 Mar. 2023
FUL
Fulham
0 - 3
Arsenal
ARS
19%
23%
58%
92 84 8 0
09 Mar. 2023
SCP
Sporting CP
2 - 2
Arsenal
ARS
29%
25%
47%
92 88 4 0
04 Mar. 2023
ARS
Arsenal
3 - 2
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
77%
15%
8%
92 80 12 0
01 Mar. 2023
ARS
Arsenal
4 - 0
Everton
EVE
75%
16%
9%
92 83 9 0

Matches

Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Mar. 2023
BHA
Brighton & Hove Albion
1 - 0
Crystal Palace
CRY
54%
25%
21%
85 88 3 0
11 Mar. 2023
CRY
Crystal Palace
0 - 1
Manchester City
MAC
9%
18%
73%
85 96 11 0
04 Mar. 2023
ASV
Aston Villa
1 - 0
Crystal Palace
CRY
49%
25%
26%
85 84 1 0
25 Feb. 2023
CRY
Crystal Palace
0 - 0
Liverpool
LIV
11%
18%
72%
85 94 9 0
18 Feb. 2023
BRE
Brentford
1 - 1
Crystal Palace
CRY
47%
26%
28%
85 85 0 0
X