Arsenal vs Crystal Palace analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
84.1%
Win probability
2.57
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.4%
3-0
14.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.6%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.2%
12%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
4%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
SOU
2 - 2
ARS
17%
21%
62%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2014 |
ARS
4 - 0
COV
86%
11%
3%
|
92 | 64 | 28 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
ARS
2 - 0
FUL
77%
16%
8%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2014 |
ASV
1 - 2
ARS
15%
21%
63%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
ARS
2 - 0
TOT
54%
23%
23%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Crystal Palace
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2014 |
CRY
1 - 0
HUL
38%
28%
34%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2014 |
WIG
2 - 1
CRY
66%
21%
14%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2014 |
CRY
1 - 0
STO
28%
29%
43%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
TOT
2 - 0
CRY
80%
14%
6%
|
71 | 90 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2014 |
WBA
0 - 2
CRY
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +2 |