Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
45.3%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2021 |
BRE
2 - 0
ARS
19%
23%
58%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
TOT
1 - 0
ARS
43%
24%
33%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
29%
25%
46%
|
90 | 92 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
ARS
4 - 1
WAT
74%
17%
9%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
GLA
2 - 2
ARS
18%
22%
60%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
CHL
3 - 0
CRY
72%
18%
10%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2021 |
CHL
1 - 1
VIL
46%
25%
30%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2021 |
CHL
2 - 2
TOT
48%
24%
28%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2021 |
ARS
1 - 2
CHL
29%
25%
46%
|
92 | 90 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
BOU
1 - 2
CHL
8%
17%
75%
|
92 | 80 | 12 | 0 |