Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.8%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
36.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
BOU
1 - 1
ARS
25%
23%
52%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2019 |
EVE
0 - 0
ARS
38%
24%
38%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2019 |
ARS
0 - 3
MAC
26%
23%
52%
|
88 | 93 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2019 |
SDL
2 - 2
ARS
19%
21%
60%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2019 |
WHU
1 - 3
ARS
31%
23%
46%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 2019 |
CHL
0 - 2
SOU
74%
17%
9%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2019 |
TOT
0 - 2
CHL
41%
24%
35%
|
89 | 89 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
CHL
0 - 1
BOU
71%
18%
11%
|
89 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2019 |
CHL
2 - 1
LIL
69%
19%
12%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2019 |
EVE
3 - 1
CHL
29%
24%
47%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | -1 |