Arsenal vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
34.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 2009 |
ARS
2 - 0
SDL
76%
16%
8%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
SUN
1 - 0
ARS
15%
21%
65%
|
94 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2009 |
WOL
1 - 4
ARS
12%
20%
69%
|
94 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2009 |
ARS
4 - 1
AZA
75%
16%
9%
|
94 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
ARS
3 - 0
TOT
62%
21%
17%
|
94 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2009 |
FCP
0 - 1
CHL
20%
25%
55%
|
96 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
CHL
4 - 0
WOL
80%
14%
6%
|
96 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
CHL
1 - 0
MUD
49%
26%
26%
|
97 | 96 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2009 |
ATM
2 - 2
CHL
28%
26%
47%
|
97 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
BOL
0 - 4
CHL
15%
23%
62%
|
97 | 84 | 13 | 0 |