Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.9%
14.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
CRY
0 - 0
ARS
25%
27%
48%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1997 |
ARS
4 - 1
BIR
84%
11%
4%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
ARS
5 - 0
BAR
78%
16%
7%
|
86 | 65 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1997 |
ARS
1 - 1
PAO
58%
24%
19%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 1997 |
EVE
2 - 2
ARS
37%
27%
37%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1997 |
ATH
0 - 0
ASV
57%
24%
19%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 1997 |
ASV
1 - 2
WIM
49%
26%
25%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1997 |
WHU
3 - 0
ASV
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 1997 |
BOL
0 - 1
ASV
42%
27%
31%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1997 |
ASV
1 - 0
GIR
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |