Arsenal vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
ARS
0 - 0
NEW
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
CHL
2 - 1
ARS
51%
24%
26%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
ARS
1 - 0
SHW
62%
22%
16%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
COV
0 - 2
ARS
42%
26%
33%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 1985 |
QPR
0 - 1
ARS
48%
24%
28%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1985 |
ASV
0 - 0
EVE
37%
27%
35%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1985 |
IPS
0 - 3
ASV
46%
26%
29%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 1985 |
ASV
1 - 1
COV
65%
20%
15%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1985 |
BIR
0 - 0
ASV
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1985 |
WBA
0 - 3
ASV
43%
26%
31%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |