Arsenal Tula vs Lokomotiv Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
45%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+22%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal Tula
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SOC
4 - 0
ARS
51%
25%
24%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
ZEN
1 - 2
ARS
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2021 |
ARS
3 - 3
VEL
59%
22%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
ARS
4 - 0
MON
69%
19%
12%
|
73 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2021 |
ARS
4 - 1
LIE
46%
24%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lokomotiv Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
LOK
2 - 0
CSK
37%
26%
37%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
LOK
3 - 0
TAM
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LOK
0 - 4
LOK
63%
22%
16%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
LOK
2 - 1
FCR
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2021 |
LOK
4 - 0
KRA
39%
26%
34%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |